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ORLY vs USMV: Correlation

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (USMV) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.41.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.41
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.53
long-run
Ann. covariance
80.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ORLY and USMV?

On 3 years of weekly data the ORLY/USMV correlation comes out at 0.41, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.41) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.53, and annualized covariance runs at 80.1 %².

Within ORLY's tracked universe of 29 assets, USMV comes in at #6 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USMV ahead by 25.7 points (-15.6% versus +10.1%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.30 and 0.61 over the past three years, a moderate range. Risk is not evenly split, since ORLY carries 2.0 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ORLY vs USMV: side by side

ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive)USMV (iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF)
1-year return-15.6%+10.1%
5-year return+120.8%+42.3%
Volatility (ann.)19.8%9.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.200.51
Max drawdown (3Y)-23.3%-9.4%
Market cap$71.1B
P/E (trailing)28.4
Dividend yield0.00%1.48%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$23.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · US Style
Higher yield: USMV 1.48% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: USMV -9.4% vs -23.3%Higher 5y return: ORLY +120.8% vs +42.3%

USMV, iShares's Large Blend fund, carries $23.6B under management, 164 holdings, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 1.48% trailing dividend yield.

-18%0%+10%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ORLY · USMV

Year-by-year returns

YearORLYUSMV
2022+19.5%-9.4%
2023+12.6%+10.3%
2024+24.8%+15.7%
2025+15.4%+7.6%
2026-3.7%+9.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that USMV holds ORLY at a 0.7% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are ORLY and USMV good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.41, ORLY and USMV keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ORLY and USMV?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ORLY and USMV is 0.41 over 3 years, 0.41 over 1 year and 0.53 over 5 years.

Is USMV a good diversifier for ORLY?

Reasonably. At 0.41, ORLY and USMV keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.41 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.41 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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ORLY vs USMV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.41ORLY vs USMV0.41

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ORLY correlations · USMV correlations