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ONTO vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.57, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.49
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.57
long-run
Ann. covariance
485.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ONTO and SPY?

Over the past 3 years, ONTO and SPY moved with a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.49 over 1 year against 0.57 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.57, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 485.0 %².

Among the 14 assets we track against ONTO, SPY ranks #9 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ONTO outperformed by 150.4 percentage points (+171.0% for ONTO against +20.6% for SPY). One caveat on sizing: ONTO is 4.0 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ONTO vs SPY: side by side

ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+171.0%+20.6%
5-year return+288.7%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)58.7%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5002.321.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-62.8%-18.8%
Market cap$17.9B
P/E (trailing)110.0
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -62.8%Higher 5y return: ONTO +288.7% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+221%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ONTO · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearONTOSPY
2022-32.7%-18.2%
2023+124.6%+26.2%
2024+9.0%+24.9%
2025-5.3%+17.7%
2026+85.4%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ONTO and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means ONTO and SPY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ONTO and SPY?

The ONTO/SPY correlation stands at 0.57 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.49, 5 years: 0.57), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for ONTO?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means ONTO and SPY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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ONTO vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57ONTO vs SPY0.57

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Hubs: ONTO correlations · SPY correlations