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OBE vs SPY: Correlation

How closely do Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.11, which is weak.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.11
weak
Correlation (1Y)
-0.10
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.12
long-run
Ann. covariance
79.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are OBE and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the OBE/SPY correlation comes out at 0.11, weak. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.10) runs below the 3-year figure (0.11). The 5-year figure is 0.12, and annualized covariance runs at 79.2 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #10 of the 18 assets tracked against OBE. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months OBE outperformed by 72.7 percentage points (+93.3% for OBE against +20.6% for SPY). Note the risk asymmetry: OBE runs 3.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

OBE vs SPY: side by side

OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+93.3%+20.6%
5-year return+339.0%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)50.2%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.381.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-56.4%-18.8%
Market cap$0.8B
P/E (trailing)36.9
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -56.4%Higher 5y return: OBE +339.0% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+143%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. OBE · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearOBESPY
2022+61.2%-18.2%
2023+2.1%+26.2%
2024-14.6%+24.9%
2025+5.9%+17.7%
2026+92.7%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are OBE and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at 0.11, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between OBE and SPY?

The OBE/SPY correlation stands at 0.11 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.10, 5 years: 0.12), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for OBE?

Yes: at 0.11, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of 0.11 mean?

A reading of 0.11 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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OBE vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.11OBE vs SPY0.11

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Hubs: OBE correlations · SPY correlations