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NVG vs USO: Correlation

How closely do Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Credit Income Fund (NVG) and United States Oil Fund (USO) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.25, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.25
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.40
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.08
long-run
Ann. covariance
-125.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NVG and USO?

Over the past 3 years, NVG and USO moved with a correlation of -0.25, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.40) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.25). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.08, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -125.3 %².

Among the 28 assets we track against NVG, USO sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #26. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USO ahead by 61.7 points (+12.4% versus +74.1%). Risk is not evenly split, since USO carries 3.0 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NVG vs USO: side by side

NVG (Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Credit Income Fund)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+12.4%+74.1%
5-year return-7.8%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)13.0%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.32-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-12.9%-32.5%
Market cap$2.7B
P/E (trailing)13.8
Dividend yield7.75%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: NVG -12.9% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs -7.8%
-6%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NVG · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearNVGUSO
2022-28.5%+29.0%
2023+2.0%-4.9%
2024+10.8%+13.4%
2025+11.6%-8.5%
2026+1.9%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NVG and USO good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.25 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NVG and USO?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.25 over 3 years, with -0.40 over the last year and -0.08 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for NVG?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.25 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.25 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.25 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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NVG vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.25NVG vs USO-0.25

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Hubs: NVG correlations · USO correlations