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NUW vs SPY: Correlation

How closely do Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value Fund (NUW) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.26, which is weak.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.26
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.37
long-run
Ann. covariance
32.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NUW and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of NUW and SPY correlate at 0.26, weak. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.41 versus 0.26 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.37, with an annualized covariance of 32.0 %².

Among the 10 assets we track against NUW, SPY sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #6. On 12-month performance SPY holds a 14.7-point edge, +5.9% against +20.6%. Note the risk asymmetry: SPY runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NUW vs SPY: side by side

NUW (Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value Fund)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+5.9%+20.6%
5-year return-1.6%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)8.7%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.151.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-7.7%-18.8%
Market cap$0.2B
P/E (trailing)16.0
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: NUW -7.7% vs -18.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -1.6%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. NUW · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearNUWSPY
2022-15.2%-18.2%
2023+3.8%+26.2%
2024+3.6%+24.9%
2025+9.9%+17.7%
2026-0.0%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NUW and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.26, NUW and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NUW and SPY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.26 over 3 years, with 0.41 over the last year and 0.37 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for NUW?

Reasonably. At 0.26, NUW and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.26 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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NUW vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.26NUW vs SPY0.26

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Hubs: NUW correlations · SPY correlations