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NKE vs XLY: Correlation

How closely do Nike, Inc. (NKE) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.38, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.38
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.49
long-run
Ann. covariance
274.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NKE and XLY?

On 3 years of weekly data the NKE/XLY correlation comes out at 0.38, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.41 over 1 year against 0.38 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.49, and annualized covariance runs at 274.4 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLY places #19 of the 33 assets tracked against NKE. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLY ahead by 49.3 points (-49.4% versus -0.1%). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.16 and 0.49, a moderate band. One caveat on sizing: NKE is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NKE vs XLY: side by side

NKE (Nike, Inc.)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-49.4%-0.1%
5-year return-75.2%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)36.6%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.931.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-66.9%-26.0%
Market cap$57.0B
P/E (trailing)18.4
Dividend yield4.22%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: NKE 4.22% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -66.9%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs -75.2%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-47%0%+6%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NKE · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearNKEXLY
2022-29.0%-36.3%
2023-6.0%+39.6%
2024-29.1%+26.5%
2025-13.8%+7.4%
2026-38.7%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLY holds NKE at a 1.15% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are NKE and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.38, NKE and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NKE and XLY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between NKE and XLY is 0.38 over 3 years, 0.41 over 1 year and 0.49 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for NKE?

Reasonably. At 0.38, NKE and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.38 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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NKE vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.38NKE vs XLY0.38

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Hubs: NKE correlations · XLY correlations