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NFG vs XLU: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) and Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) carry a correlation of 0.54, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.54
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.42
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
169.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NFG and XLU?

Over the past 3 years, NFG and XLU moved with a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.42) than the 3-year average (0.54). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.54, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 169.7 %².

Among the 13 assets we track against NFG, XLU ranks #4 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months XLU came out ahead by 6.7 percentage points (-2.6% against +4.1%).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NFG vs XLU: side by side

NFG (National Fuel Gas Company)XLU (Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-2.6%+4.1%
5-year return+87.6%+46.3%
Volatility (ann.)20.0%15.8%
Beta vs S&P 5000.100.26
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.9%-13.1%
Market cap$7.9B
P/E (trailing)11.6
Dividend yield2.59%2.70%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$23.1B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLU 2.70% vs 2.59%Smaller drawdown: XLU -13.1% vs -20.9%Higher 5y return: NFG +87.6% vs +46.3%

XLU is an Utilities fund from State Street Investment Management: $23.1B under management, 31 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.70% trailing dividend yield.

-11%0%+16%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. NFG · XLU

Year-by-year returns

YearNFGXLU
2022+1.9%+1.4%
2023-17.7%-7.2%
2024+25.4%+23.3%
2025+35.3%+16.0%
2026+4.8%+2.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NFG and XLU good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means NFG and XLU share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NFG and XLU?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between NFG and XLU is 0.54 over 3 years, 0.42 over 1 year and 0.54 over 5 years.

Is XLU a good diversifier for NFG?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means NFG and XLU share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.54 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.54 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/nfg-vs-xlu.json

NFG vs XLU: 3-year weekly correlation 0.54NFG vs XLU0.54

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Hubs: NFG correlations · XLU correlations