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MUR vs SHY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) and iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) carry a correlation of -0.25, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.25
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.37
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.13
long-run
Ann. covariance
-15.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MUR and SHY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MUR and SHY correlate at -0.25, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.37 versus -0.25 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives -0.13, with an annualized covariance of -15.2 %².

SHY is close to the least connected end of MUR's tracked universe, ranking #14 of 16. The last year tells two different stories: MUR led by 49.2 percentage points, +51.7% for MUR against +2.5% for SHY. One caveat on sizing: MUR is 24.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MUR vs SHY: side by side

MUR (Murphy Oil Corporation)SHY (iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+51.7%+2.5%
5-year return+96.7%+9.6%
Volatility (ann.)39.7%1.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.160.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-58.5%-1.0%
Market cap$5.2B
P/E (trailing)17.2
Dividend yield3.89%3.65%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$25.1B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Bonds
Higher yield: MUR 3.89% vs 3.65%Smaller drawdown: SHY -1.0% vs -58.5%Higher 5y return: MUR +96.7% vs +9.6%

SHY, iShares's Short Government fund, carries $25.1B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 3.65% trailing dividend yield.

0%+73%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MUR · SHY

Year-by-year returns

YearMURSHY
2022+68.5%-3.9%
2023+2.0%+4.2%
2024-26.8%+3.9%
2025+8.7%+5.0%
2026+18.5%+1.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MUR and SHY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MUR and SHY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.25 over 3 years, with -0.37 over the last year and -0.13 over 5 years.

Is SHY a good diversifier for MUR?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.25 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.25 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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MUR vs SHY: 3-year weekly correlation -0.25MUR vs SHY-0.25

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MUR correlations · SHY correlations