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MTUM vs XLP: Correlation & Overlap

How closely do iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.20, which is weak. Looking through to holdings, 3.9% of the two portfolios is the same by weight.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.20
weak
Correlation (1Y)
-0.02
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.41
long-run
Holdings overlap
3.9%
6 common holdings

How correlated are MTUM and XLP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MTUM and XLP correlate at 0.20, weak. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.02) than the 3-year average (0.20). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.41, with an annualized covariance of 45.4 %².

Within MTUM's tracked universe of 109 assets, XLP comes in at #98 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: MTUM led by 16.9 percentage points, +25.2% for MTUM against +8.3% for XLP. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.03 and 0.66 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. One caveat on sizing: MTUM is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MTUM vs XLP: side by side

MTUM (iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+25.2%+8.3%
5-year return+76.1%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)20.6%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5001.250.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-21.0%-9.7%
Dividend yield0.62%2.58%
Expense ratio0.15%0.08%
Assets under management$25.3B$14.6B
Sector / categoryETF · US StyleSector ETF
Lower fee: XLP 0.08% vs 0.15%Higher yield: XLP 2.58% vs 0.62%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -21.0%Higher 5y return: MTUM +76.1% vs +34.7%

MTUM, iShares's Large Blend fund, carries $25.3B under management, 126 holdings, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 0.62% trailing dividend yield. On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-5%0%+40%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MTUM · XLP

Portfolio overlap between MTUM and XLP

The two portfolios are largely distinct: 3.9% of the funds' weight sits in the same underlying holdings (6 common positions). Correlation tells you they move together; overlap tells you why.

Common holdingWeight in MTUMWeight in XLP
WMT2.44%9.62%
MO0.59%4.21%
TGT0.36%4.67%
CASY0.23%1.87%
ADM0.17%2.42%
BG0.08%0.96%

Largest positions held only by MTUM: MU (6.60%), AMD (5.09%), AVGO (4.25%), INTC (3.91%), XOM (3.78%). Only by XLP: COST (8.92%), KO (7.34%), PG (7.10%), PM (6.36%), CL (4.56%).

Overlap = sum of the smaller of the two weights across common holdings, from issuer disclosures as of 2026-08-26. Top 6 common positions shown.

Year-by-year returns

YearMTUMXLP
2022-18.3%-0.8%
2023+9.1%-0.8%
2024+32.9%+12.2%
2025+22.1%+1.5%
2026+21.8%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MTUM and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.20, MTUM and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MTUM and XLP?

The MTUM/XLP correlation stands at 0.20 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.02, 5 years: 0.41), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLP a good diversifier for MTUM?

Reasonably. At 0.20, MTUM and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

How much do MTUM and XLP overlap?

Per the issuers' own portfolio disclosures (2026-08-26), the overlap is 3.9% by weight over 6 common positions.

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MTUM vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.20MTUM vs XLP0.20

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