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MTH vs USO: Correlation

How closely do Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) and United States Oil Fund (USO) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.26, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.26
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.45
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.13
long-run
Ann. covariance
-398.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MTH and USO?

On 3 years of weekly data the MTH/USO correlation comes out at -0.26, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.45) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.26). The 5-year figure is -0.13, and annualized covariance runs at -398.9 %².

Out of 35 assets tracked against MTH, USO lands near the bottom at #33. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months USO outperformed by 81.1 percentage points (-7.0% for MTH against +74.1% for USO).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MTH vs USO: side by side

MTH (Meritage Homes Corporation)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return-7.0%+74.1%
5-year return+34.0%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)39.0%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.90-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-43.0%-32.5%
Market cap$4.6B
P/E (trailing)15.0
Dividend yield2.52%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -43.0%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +34.0%
-28%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MTH · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearMTHUSO
2022-24.5%+29.0%
2023+90.5%-4.9%
2024-10.2%+13.4%
2025-12.3%-8.5%
2026+8.7%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MTH and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.26, MTH and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MTH and USO?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MTH and USO is -0.26 over 3 years, -0.45 over 1 year and -0.13 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for MTH?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.26, MTH and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.26 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.26 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/mth-vs-uso.json

MTH vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.26MTH vs USO-0.26

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MTH correlations · USO correlations