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MTB vs USB: Correlation

How closely do M&T Bank (MTB) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.85, which is very strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.85
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.90
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.78
long-run
Ann. covariance
615.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MTB and USB?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MTB and USB correlate at 0.85, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.90 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.78, with an annualized covariance of 615.8 %².

Within MTB's tracked universe of 35 assets, USB comes in at #7 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance USB holds a 11.4-point edge, +21.7% against +33.1%. On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.65 and 0.93, a moderate band.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MTB vs USB: side by side

MTB (M&T Bank)USB (U.S. Bancorp)
1-year return+21.7%+33.1%
5-year return+101.3%+36.0%
Volatility (ann.)26.5%27.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.831.09
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.5%-30.6%
Market cap$34.5B$97.2B
P/E (trailing)12.812.5
Dividend yield2.48%3.31%
Sector / categoryFinancialsFinancials
Lower P/E: USB 12.5 vs 12.8Higher yield: USB 3.31% vs 2.48%Smaller drawdown: MTB -28.5% vs -30.6%Higher 5y return: MTB +101.3% vs +36.0%
-10%0%+39%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MTB · USB

Year-by-year returns

YearMTBUSB
2022-2.9%-19.1%
2023-1.7%+4.8%
2024+41.7%+15.6%
2025+10.4%+16.5%
2026+20.1%+19.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MTB and USB good diversifiers for each other?

No. With a correlation of 0.85, MTB and USB move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MTB and USB?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.85 over 3 years, with 0.90 over the last year and 0.78 over 5 years.

Is USB a good diversifier for MTB?

No. With a correlation of 0.85, MTB and USB move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

What does a correlation of 0.85 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/mtb-vs-usb.json

MTB vs USB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.85MTB vs USB0.85

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MTB correlations · USB correlations