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MTB vs UAL: Correlation

How closely do M&T Bank (MTB) and United Airlines Holdings (UAL) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.54
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.47
long-run
Ann. covariance
668.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MTB and UAL?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MTB and UAL correlate at 0.54, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.48 over 1 year against 0.54 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.47, with an annualized covariance of 668.0 %².

Within MTB's tracked universe of 35 assets, UAL comes in at #23 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance MTB holds a 13.9-point edge, +21.7% against +7.8%. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.28 and 0.62 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: UAL is 1.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MTB vs UAL: side by side

MTB (M&T Bank)UAL (United Airlines Holdings)
1-year return+21.7%+7.8%
5-year return+101.3%+144.8%
Volatility (ann.)26.5%46.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.831.33
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.5%-49.2%
Market cap$34.5B$36.5B
P/E (trailing)12.810.8
Dividend yield2.48%0.00%
Sector / categoryFinancialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: UAL 10.8 vs 12.8Higher yield: MTB 2.48% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MTB -28.5% vs -49.2%Higher 5y return: UAL +144.8% vs +101.3%
-19%0%+30%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MTB · UAL

Year-by-year returns

YearMTBUAL
2022-2.9%-13.9%
2023-1.7%+9.4%
2024+41.7%+135.3%
2025+10.4%+15.2%
2026+20.1%+0.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MTB and UAL good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means MTB and UAL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MTB and UAL?

The MTB/UAL correlation stands at 0.54 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.48, 5 years: 0.47), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is UAL a good diversifier for MTB?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means MTB and UAL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.54 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.54 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/mtb-vs-ual.json

MTB vs UAL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.54MTB vs UAL0.54

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Hubs: MTB correlations · UAL correlations