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MTB vs RFAI: Correlation

M&T Bank (MTB) and RF Acquisition Corp II (RFAI) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.16.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.16
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.26
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
-1170.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MTB and RFAI?

On 3 years of weekly data the MTB/RFAI correlation comes out at -0.16, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: -0.26 over 1 year against -0.16 over 3. The 5-year figure is n/a, and annualized covariance runs at -1170.3 %².

Within MTB's tracked universe of 35 assets, RFAI comes in at #28 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months RFAI outperformed by 367.8 percentage points (+21.7% for MTB against +389.5% for RFAI). Risk is not evenly split, since RFAI carries 10.9 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MTB vs RFAI: side by side

MTB (M&T Bank)RFAI (RF Acquisition Corp II)
1-year return+21.7%+389.5%
5-year return+101.3%n/a
Volatility (ann.)26.5%288.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.83-1.62
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.5%-16.5%
Market cap$34.5B$0.4B
P/E (trailing)12.8399.9
Dividend yield2.48%0.00%
Sector / categoryFinancialsUS Listed
Lower P/E: MTB 12.8 vs 399.9Higher yield: MTB 2.48% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: RFAI -16.5% vs -28.5%
-10%0%+447%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MTB · RFAI

Year-by-year returns

YearMTBRFAI
2022-2.9%
2023-1.7%
2024+41.7%
2025+10.4%+5.2%
2026+20.1%+383.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MTB and RFAI good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.16 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MTB and RFAI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MTB and RFAI is -0.16 over 3 years, -0.26 over 1 year and n/a over 5 years.

Is RFAI a good diversifier for MTB?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.16 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.16 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.16 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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MTB vs RFAI: 3-year weekly correlation -0.16MTB vs RFAI-0.16

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MTB correlations · RFAI correlations