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MSDL vs VXX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) carry a correlation of -0.32, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.32
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.34
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
-423.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MSDL and VXX?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MSDL and VXX correlate at -0.32, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: -0.34 over 1 year against -0.32 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives n/a, with an annualized covariance of -423.4 %².

Among the 13 assets we track against MSDL, VXX sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #13. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MSDL outperformed by 47.0 percentage points (-2.7% for MSDL against -49.7% for VXX). Risk is not evenly split, since VXX carries 2.9 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MSDL vs VXX: side by side

MSDL (Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund)VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)
1-year return-2.7%-49.7%
5-year returnn/a-95.6%
Volatility (ann.)21.2%60.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.57-3.31
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.7%-83.3%
Market cap$1.3B
P/E (trailing)22.2
Dividend yield12.45%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Higher yield: MSDL 12.45% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MSDL -29.7% vs -83.3%
-49%0%+11%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MSDL · VXX

Year-by-year returns

YearMSDLVXX
2022-23.8%
2023-72.5%
2024-26.2%
2025-10.9%-42.2%
2026-1.1%-31.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MSDL and VXX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.32, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MSDL and VXX?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.32 over 3 years, with -0.34 over the last year and n/a over 5 years.

Is VXX a good diversifier for MSDL?

Yes: at -0.32, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.32 mean?

A reading of -0.32 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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MSDL vs VXX: 3-year weekly correlation -0.32MSDL vs VXX-0.32

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MSDL correlations · VXX correlations