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MSCI vs VXZ: Correlation

How closely do MSCI (MSCI) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (VXZ) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.31, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.31
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.20
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.42
long-run
Ann. covariance
-202.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MSCI and VXZ?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MSCI and VXZ correlate at -0.31, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.20) runs above the 3-year figure (-0.31). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.42, with an annualized covariance of -202.9 %².

Among the 27 assets we track against MSCI, VXZ sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #25. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MSCI outperformed by 17.4 percentage points (+1.3% for MSCI against -16.1% for VXZ).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MSCI vs VXZ: side by side

MSCI (MSCI)VXZ (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN)
1-year return+1.3%-16.1%
5-year return-5.6%-53.1%
Volatility (ann.)25.4%25.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.85-1.31
Max drawdown (3Y)-26.0%-36.4%
Market cap$41.4B
P/E (trailing)30.9
Dividend yield1.36%
Sector / categoryFinancialsUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: MSCI -26.0% vs -36.4%Higher 5y return: MSCI -5.6% vs -53.1%
-16%0%+15%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MSCI · VXZ

Year-by-year returns

YearMSCIVXZ
2022-23.3%+0.5%
2023+22.9%-44.0%
2024+7.3%-12.7%
2025-3.2%+5.7%
2026+0.3%-10.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MSCI and VXZ good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.31, MSCI and VXZ have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MSCI and VXZ?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MSCI and VXZ is -0.31 over 3 years, -0.20 over 1 year and -0.42 over 5 years.

Is VXZ a good diversifier for MSCI?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.31, MSCI and VXZ have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.31 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.31 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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MSCI vs VXZ: 3-year weekly correlation -0.31MSCI vs VXZ-0.31

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MSCI correlations · VXZ correlations