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MRK vs SPY: Correlation

Merck & Co. (MRK) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.14.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.14
weak
Correlation (1Y)
-0.11
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.12
long-run
Ann. covariance
57.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MRK and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MRK and SPY correlate at 0.14, weak. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.11) runs below the 3-year figure (0.14). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.12, with an annualized covariance of 57.5 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #23 of the 34 assets tracked against MRK. The last year tells two different stories: MRK led by 63.2 percentage points, +83.8% for MRK against +20.6% for SPY. This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.11 and 0.41 on a rolling one-year basis. Note the risk asymmetry: MRK runs 1.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MRK vs SPY: side by side

MRK (Merck & Co.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+83.8%+20.6%
5-year return+128.5%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)27.9%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.281.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-43.4%-18.8%
Market cap$368.9B
P/E (trailing)121.6
Dividend yield2.17%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryHealth CareETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: MRK 2.17% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -43.4%Higher 5y return: MRK +128.5% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+86%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MRK · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearMRKSPY
2022+49.4%-18.2%
2023+1.0%+26.2%
2024-6.3%+24.9%
2025+9.8%+17.7%
2026+44.1%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

MRK represents 0.57% of SPY's portfolio, so part of any move in SPY is MRK itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are MRK and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.14, MRK and SPY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MRK and SPY?

The MRK/SPY correlation stands at 0.14 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.11, 5 years: 0.12), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for MRK?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.14, MRK and SPY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of 0.14 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.14 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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MRK vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.14MRK vs SPY0.14

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Hubs: MRK correlations · SPY correlations