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MPB vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.37, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.37
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.18
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.33
long-run
Ann. covariance
149.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MPB and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the MPB/SPY correlation comes out at 0.37, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.18) runs below the 3-year figure (0.37). The 5-year figure is 0.33, and annualized covariance runs at 149.2 %².

Among the 12 assets we track against MPB, SPY sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #8. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +25.2% against +20.6%. One caveat on sizing: MPB is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MPB vs SPY: side by side

MPB (Mid Penn Bancorp)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+25.2%+20.6%
5-year return+61.4%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)27.8%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.711.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-26.8%-18.8%
Market cap$0.9B
P/E (trailing)12.8
Dividend yield2.42%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: MPB 2.42% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -26.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +61.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-11%0%+31%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MPB · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearMPBSPY
2022-2.9%-18.2%
2023-16.1%+26.2%
2024+22.8%+24.9%
2025+10.7%+17.7%
2026+20.8%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MPB and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.37, MPB and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MPB and SPY?

The MPB/SPY correlation stands at 0.37 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.18, 5 years: 0.33), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for MPB?

Reasonably. At 0.37, MPB and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.37 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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MPB vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.37MPB vs SPY0.37

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Hubs: MPB correlations · SPY correlations