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MO vs XLP: Correlation

How closely do Altria (MO) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.52, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.52
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.56
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.50
long-run
Ann. covariance
127.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MO and XLP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MO and XLP correlate at 0.52, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.56 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.50, with an annualized covariance of 127.0 %².

Few assets follow MO as closely as XLP, which ranks #3 of 49 tracked partners. Their 12-month results are close: +8.8% for MO against +8.3% for XLP. On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.34 and 0.72, a moderate band. Risk is not evenly split, since MO carries 2.0 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MO vs XLP: side by side

MO (Altria)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+8.8%+8.3%
5-year return+100.4%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)21.8%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 500-0.070.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-16.4%-9.7%
Market cap$113.0B
P/E (trailing)14.6
Dividend yield6.13%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: MO 6.13% vs 2.58%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -16.4%Higher 5y return: MO +100.4% vs +34.7%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-14%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MO · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearMOXLP
2022+4.4%-0.8%
2023-3.7%-0.8%
2024+40.8%+12.2%
2025+18.2%+1.5%
2026+21.1%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 4.21% of XLP is MO itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are MO and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means MO and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MO and XLP?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.52 over 3 years, with 0.56 over the last year and 0.50 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for MO?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means MO and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.52 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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MO vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.52MO vs XLP0.52

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Hubs: MO correlations · XLP correlations