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MMM vs XLI: Correlation

How closely do 3M (MMM) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.64
long-run
Ann. covariance
268.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MMM and XLI?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MMM and XLI correlate at 0.57, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.61) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.64, with an annualized covariance of 268.7 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLI places #9 of the 34 assets tracked against MMM. Twelve-month performance is nearly a tie, at +16.4% for MMM and +18.3% for XLI. Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from 0.28 to 0.79. Note the risk asymmetry: MMM runs 1.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MMM vs XLI: side by side

MMM (3M)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+16.4%+18.3%
5-year return+29.9%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)29.8%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.890.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.7%-18.5%
Market cap$92.2B
P/E (trailing)31.9
Dividend yield1.68%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: MMM 1.68% vs 1.15%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -20.7%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs +29.9%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-8%0%+25%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MMM · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearMMMXLI
2022-29.6%-5.6%
2023-3.3%+18.1%
2024+46.1%+17.3%
2025+26.4%+19.3%
2026+13.3%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

MMM represents 1.66% of XLI's portfolio, so part of any move in XLI is MMM itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are MMM and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.57 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MMM and XLI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MMM and XLI is 0.57 over 3 years, 0.61 over 1 year and 0.64 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for MMM?

To a limited degree. At 0.57 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.57 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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MMM vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57MMM vs XLI0.57

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Hubs: MMM correlations · XLI correlations