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MDY vs XLI: Correlation & Overlap

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) carry a correlation of 0.89, a very strong link. By holdings, the two funds overlap 0% by weight.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.89
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.81
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.91
long-run
Holdings overlap
0%
0 common holdings

How correlated are MDY and XLI?

Over the past 3 years, MDY and XLI moved with a correlation of 0.89, which is very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.81 over 1 year against 0.89 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.91, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 231.3 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, XLI ranks #9 by 3-year correlation. Their 12-month results are close: +18.3% for MDY against +18.3% for XLI. The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.79 and 0.94 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs XLI: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+18.3%+18.3%
5-year return+47.5%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.910.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-18.5%
Dividend yield1.02%1.15%
Expense ratio0.23%0.08%
Assets under management$26.5B$32.9B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapSector ETF
Lower fee: XLI 0.08% vs 0.23%Higher yield: XLI 1.15% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -24.0%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs +47.5%

On the fund side, MDY sits in the Mid-Cap Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield. XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+25%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MDY · XLI

Portfolio overlap between MDY and XLI

The two portfolios are largely distinct, with 0 holdings in common adding up to 0% of fund weight. Where correlation shows the co-movement, the overlap shows its source.

Largest positions held only by MDY: TWLO (0.95%), P (0.94%), ILMN (0.93%), FTI (0.83%), ATI (0.80%). Only by XLI: CAT (6.68%), GE (6.52%), RTX (5.04%), GEV (4.52%), UNP (3.25%).

Overlap = sum of the smaller of the two weights across common holdings, from issuer disclosures as of 2026-08-26.

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYXLI
2022-13.3%-5.6%
2023+16.1%+18.1%
2024+13.6%+17.3%
2025+7.2%+19.3%
2026+16.4%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Not really. At 0.89, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and XLI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and XLI is 0.89 over 3 years, 0.81 over 1 year and 0.91 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for MDY?

Not really. At 0.89, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

How much do MDY and XLI overlap?

The two funds share 0 holdings amounting to 0% of weight, per issuer portfolio files dated 2026-08-26.

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MDY vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.89MDY vs XLI0.89

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Hubs: MDY correlations · XLI correlations