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MDY vs URI: Correlation

SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and United Rentals (URI) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.69.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.69
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.45
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.74
long-run
Ann. covariance
449.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and URI?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MDY and URI correlate at 0.69, strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.45) than the 3-year average (0.69). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.74, with an annualized covariance of 449.9 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, URI ranks #73 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives MDY the advantage: +18.3% versus +10.2%, a 8.1-point spread. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.44 and 0.86 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: URI runs 2.4 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs URI: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)URI (United Rentals)
1-year return+18.3%+10.2%
5-year return+47.5%+204.1%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%39.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.42
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-37.0%
Market cap$64.6B
P/E (trailing)25.4
Dividend yield1.02%0.71%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapIndustrials
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.71%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -37.0%Higher 5y return: URI +204.1% vs +47.5%

On the fund side, MDY sits in the Mid-Cap Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-27%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MDY · URI

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYURI
2022-13.3%+7.0%
2023+16.1%+63.6%
2024+13.6%+24.0%
2025+7.2%+15.9%
2026+16.4%+29.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and URI good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.69 means MDY and URI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and URI?

The MDY/URI correlation stands at 0.69 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.45, 5 years: 0.74), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is URI a good diversifier for MDY?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.69 means MDY and URI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.69 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.69 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/mdy-vs-uri.json

MDY vs URI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.69MDY vs URI0.69

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MDY correlations · URI correlations