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MDY vs TXT: Correlation

How closely do SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Textron (TXT) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.67, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.67
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.72
long-run
Ann. covariance
282.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and TXT?

On 3 years of weekly data the MDY/TXT correlation comes out at 0.67, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.61) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.72, and annualized covariance runs at 282.0 %².

Within MDY's tracked universe of 359 assets, TXT comes in at #97 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MDY outperformed by 17.6 percentage points (+18.3% for MDY against +0.7% for TXT). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.43 and 0.85, a moderate band. Note the risk asymmetry: TXT runs 1.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs TXT: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)TXT (Textron)
1-year return+18.3%+0.7%
5-year return+47.5%+15.1%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%25.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.910.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-37.3%
Market cap$14.2B
P/E (trailing)15.7
Dividend yield1.02%0.10%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapIndustrials
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.10%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -37.3%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs +15.1%

On the fund side, MDY sits in the Mid-Cap Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+24%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MDY · TXT

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYTXT
2022-13.3%-8.2%
2023+16.1%+13.7%
2024+13.6%-4.8%
2025+7.2%+14.1%
2026+16.4%-5.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and TXT good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.67 means MDY and TXT share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and TXT?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and TXT is 0.67 over 3 years, 0.61 over 1 year and 0.72 over 5 years.

Is TXT a good diversifier for MDY?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.67 means MDY and TXT share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.67 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.67 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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MDY vs TXT: 3-year weekly correlation 0.67MDY vs TXT0.67

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Hubs: MDY correlations · TXT correlations