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MDY vs TWI: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Titan International, Inc. (DE) (TWI) carry a correlation of 0.58, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.63
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.55
long-run
Ann. covariance
462.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and TWI?

On 3 years of weekly data the MDY/TWI correlation comes out at 0.58, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.63 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.55, and annualized covariance runs at 462.2 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, TWI ranks #215 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: MDY led by 41.2 percentage points, +18.3% for MDY against -22.9% for TWI. One caveat on sizing: TWI is 2.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs TWI: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)TWI (Titan International, Inc. (DE))
1-year return+18.3%-22.9%
5-year return+47.5%-16.4%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%48.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.38
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-58.5%
Market cap$0.5B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.02%0.00%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapUS Listed
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -58.5%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs -16.4%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-23%0%+26%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MDY · TWI

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYTWI
2022-13.3%+39.8%
2023+16.1%-2.9%
2024+13.6%-54.4%
2025+7.2%+15.3%
2026+16.4%-10.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and TWI good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means MDY and TWI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and TWI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and TWI is 0.58 over 3 years, 0.63 over 1 year and 0.55 over 5 years.

Is TWI a good diversifier for MDY?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means MDY and TWI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

A reading of 0.58 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MDY vs TWI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58MDY vs TWI0.58

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MDY correlations · TWI correlations