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MDY vs TKO: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and TKO Group Holdings (TKO) carry a correlation of 0.40, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.40
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.42
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.39
long-run
Ann. covariance
212.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and TKO?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MDY and TKO correlate at 0.40, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.42 over 1 year against 0.40 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.39, with an annualized covariance of 212.8 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, TKO ranks #345 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with MDY ahead by 17.5 points (+18.3% versus +0.8%). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.14 and 0.57, a moderate band. One caveat on sizing: TKO is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs TKO: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)TKO (TKO Group Holdings)
1-year return+18.3%+0.8%
5-year return+47.5%+281.8%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%32.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.910.70
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-34.8%
Market cap$34.9B
P/E (trailing)65.8
Dividend yield1.02%1.66%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapCommunication Services
Higher yield: TKO 1.66% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -34.8%Higher 5y return: TKO +281.8% vs +47.5%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-8%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MDY · TKO

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYTKO
2022-13.3%+39.9%
2023+16.1%+23.9%
2024+13.6%+74.2%
2025+7.2%+48.9%
2026+16.4%-11.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and TKO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.40 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and TKO?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and TKO is 0.40 over 3 years, 0.42 over 1 year and 0.39 over 5 years.

Is TKO a good diversifier for MDY?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.40 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.40 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.40 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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MDY vs TKO: 3-year weekly correlation 0.40MDY vs TKO0.40

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Hubs: MDY correlations · TKO correlations