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MDY vs TEX: Correlation

How closely do SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Terex Corporation (TEX) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.72, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.72
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.75
long-run
Ann. covariance
483.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and TEX?

Over the past 3 years, MDY and TEX moved with a correlation of 0.72, which is strong. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.61) runs below the 3-year figure (0.72). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.75, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 483.3 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, TEX ranks #51 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives TEX the advantage: +18.3% versus +24.2%, a 5.9-point spread. Risk is not evenly split, since TEX carries 2.5 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs TEX: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)TEX (Terex Corporation)
1-year return+18.3%+24.2%
5-year return+47.5%+31.7%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%41.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.38
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-51.3%
Market cap$7.4B
P/E (trailing)31.2
Dividend yield1.02%1.04%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapUS Listed
Higher yield: TEX 1.04% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -51.3%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs +31.7%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-18%0%+37%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MDY · TEX

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYTEX
2022-13.3%-1.4%
2023+16.1%+36.1%
2024+13.6%-18.6%
2025+7.2%+17.3%
2026+16.4%+21.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that MDY holds TEX at a 0.2% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are MDY and TEX good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.72 means MDY and TEX share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and TEX?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.72 over 3 years, with 0.61 over the last year and 0.75 over 5 years.

Is TEX a good diversifier for MDY?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.72 means MDY and TEX share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.72 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.72 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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MDY vs TEX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.72MDY vs TEX0.72

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Hubs: MDY correlations · TEX correlations