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MDY vs SW: Correlation

SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Smurfit Westrock (SW) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.58.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.57
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.55
long-run
Ann. covariance
380.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and SW?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MDY and SW correlate at 0.58, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.57) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.55, with an annualized covariance of 380.8 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, SW ranks #212 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance MDY holds a 8.6-point edge, +18.3% against +9.7%. The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.44 and 0.69 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship. Note the risk asymmetry: SW runs 2.4 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs SW: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)SW (Smurfit Westrock)
1-year return+18.3%+9.7%
5-year return+47.5%+2.6%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%40.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.910.92
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-40.5%
Market cap$25.5B
P/E (trailing)51.7
Dividend yield1.02%3.57%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapMaterials
Higher yield: SW 3.57% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -40.5%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs +2.6%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-28%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MDY · SW

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYSW
2022-13.3%-28.0%
2023+16.1%+14.1%
2024+13.6%+37.6%
2025+7.2%-26.2%
2026+16.4%+29.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and SW good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and SW?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and SW is 0.58 over 3 years, 0.57 over 1 year and 0.55 over 5 years.

Is SW a good diversifier for MDY?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

A reading of 0.58 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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MDY vs SW: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58MDY vs SW0.58

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Hubs: MDY correlations · SW correlations