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MDY vs POWW: Correlation

How closely do SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.43, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.43
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.37
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.51
long-run
Ann. covariance
385.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and POWW?

Over the past 3 years, MDY and POWW moved with a correlation of 0.43, which is moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.37) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.51, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 385.3 %².

Among the 359 assets we track against MDY, POWW ranks #340 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months POWW outperformed by 27.7 percentage points (+18.3% for MDY against +46.0% for POWW). Note the risk asymmetry: POWW runs 3.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs POWW: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)POWW (Outdoor Holding Company)
1-year return+18.3%+46.0%
5-year return+47.5%-70.6%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%54.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.910.93
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-67.5%
Market cap$0.3B
P/E (trailing)109.5
Dividend yield1.02%0.00%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapUS Listed
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -67.5%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs -70.6%

On the fund side, MDY sits in the Mid-Cap Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+72%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MDY · POWW

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYPOWW
2022-13.3%-68.3%
2023+16.1%+21.4%
2024+13.6%-47.6%
2025+7.2%+55.5%
2026+16.4%+28.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and POWW good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.43 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and POWW?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and POWW is 0.43 over 3 years, 0.37 over 1 year and 0.51 over 5 years.

Is POWW a good diversifier for MDY?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.43 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.43 mean?

A reading of 0.43 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MDY vs POWW: 3-year weekly correlation 0.43MDY vs POWW0.43

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Hubs: MDY correlations · POWW correlations