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MDY vs PII: Correlation

How closely do SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Polaris Inc. (PII) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.60, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.60
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.64
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.62
long-run
Ann. covariance
384.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and PII?

Over the past 3 years, MDY and PII moved with a correlation of 0.60, which is strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.64 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.62, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 384.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, PII places #181 of the 359 assets tracked against MDY. Their 12-month results are close: +18.3% for MDY against +15.8% for PII. Risk is not evenly split, since PII carries 2.4 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs PII: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)PII (Polaris Inc.)
1-year return+18.3%+15.8%
5-year return+47.5%-39.0%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%39.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.07
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-70.4%
Market cap$3.6B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.02%4.24%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapUS Listed
Higher yield: PII 4.24% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -70.4%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs -39.0%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-13%0%+28%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MDY · PII

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYPII
2022-13.3%-6.0%
2023+16.1%-3.8%
2024+13.6%-37.2%
2025+7.2%+15.9%
2026+16.4%+3.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that MDY holds PII at a 0.09% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are MDY and PII good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.60 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and PII?

The MDY/PII correlation stands at 0.60 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.64, 5 years: 0.62), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is PII a good diversifier for MDY?

To a limited degree. At 0.60 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.60 mean?

A reading of 0.60 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MDY vs PII: 3-year weekly correlation 0.60MDY vs PII0.60

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MDY correlations · PII correlations