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MDY vs PCAR: Correlation

How closely do SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Paccar (PCAR) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.55, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.55
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.61
long-run
Ann. covariance
217.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and PCAR?

On 3 years of weekly data the MDY/PCAR correlation comes out at 0.55, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.48) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.61, and annualized covariance runs at 217.0 %².

Within MDY's tracked universe of 359 assets, PCAR comes in at #248 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months PCAR came out ahead by 9.5 percentage points (+18.3% against +27.8%). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.38 to 0.69.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs PCAR: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)PCAR (Paccar)
1-year return+18.3%+27.8%
5-year return+47.5%+177.9%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%24.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.910.74
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-27.7%
Market cap$66.6B
P/E (trailing)26.6
Dividend yield1.02%1.04%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapIndustrials
Higher yield: PCAR 1.04% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -27.7%Higher 5y return: PCAR +177.9% vs +47.5%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+37%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MDY · PCAR

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYPCAR
2022-13.3%+17.0%
2023+16.1%+55.0%
2024+13.6%+10.8%
2025+7.2%+8.0%
2026+16.4%+16.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and PCAR good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.55 means MDY and PCAR share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and PCAR?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.55 over 3 years, with 0.48 over the last year and 0.61 over 5 years.

Is PCAR a good diversifier for MDY?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.55 means MDY and PCAR share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.55 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.55 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/mdy-vs-pcar.json

MDY vs PCAR: 3-year weekly correlation 0.55MDY vs PCAR0.55

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MDY correlations · PCAR correlations