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MDY vs NCLH: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) carry a correlation of 0.58, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.56
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.62
long-run
Ann. covariance
476.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and NCLH?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MDY and NCLH correlate at 0.58, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.56) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.62, with an annualized covariance of 476.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, NCLH places #208 of the 359 assets tracked against MDY. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with MDY ahead by 51.4 points (+18.3% versus -33.1%). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.44 to 0.71. Note the risk asymmetry: NCLH runs 3.0 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs NCLH: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)NCLH (Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings)
1-year return+18.3%-33.1%
5-year return+47.5%-34.4%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%49.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.52
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-49.1%
Market cap$7.6B
P/E (trailing)10.1
Dividend yield1.02%0.00%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapConsumer Discretionary
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -49.1%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs -34.4%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-40%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MDY · NCLH

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYNCLH
2022-13.3%-41.0%
2023+16.1%+63.7%
2024+13.6%+28.4%
2025+7.2%-13.3%
2026+16.4%-25.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and NCLH good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and NCLH?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and NCLH is 0.58 over 3 years, 0.56 over 1 year and 0.62 over 5 years.

Is NCLH a good diversifier for MDY?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

A reading of 0.58 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MDY vs NCLH: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58MDY vs NCLH0.58

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Hubs: MDY correlations · NCLH correlations