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MAR vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Marriott International (MAR) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.52, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.52
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.18
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.60
long-run
Ann. covariance
254.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MAR and XLY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MAR and XLY correlate at 0.52, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.18) runs below the 3-year figure (0.52). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.60, with an annualized covariance of 254.1 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLY places #18 of the 40 assets tracked against MAR. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MAR outperformed by 32.4 percentage points (+32.3% for MAR against -0.1% for XLY). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between 0.19 and 0.76 on a rolling one-year basis.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MAR vs XLY: side by side

MAR (Marriott International)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+32.3%-0.1%
5-year return+173.2%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)24.6%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.971.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-30.5%-26.0%
Market cap$92.3B
P/E (trailing)36.7
Dividend yield0.76%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: XLY 0.78% vs 0.76%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -30.5%Higher 5y return: MAR +173.2% vs +31.8%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+53%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MAR · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearMARXLY
2022-9.3%-36.3%
2023+53.1%+39.6%
2024+24.9%+26.5%
2025+12.3%+7.4%
2026+14.7%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 1.96% of XLY is MAR itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are MAR and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means MAR and XLY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MAR and XLY?

The MAR/XLY correlation stands at 0.52 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.18, 5 years: 0.60), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for MAR?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means MAR and XLY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.52 mean?

A reading of 0.52 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MAR vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.52MAR vs XLY0.52

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Hubs: MAR correlations · XLY correlations