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MAR vs MDY: Correlation

Marriott International (MAR) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.61.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.61
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.45
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.65
long-run
Ann. covariance
249.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MAR and MDY?

On 3 years of weekly data the MAR/MDY correlation comes out at 0.61, strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.45) than the 3-year average (0.61). The 5-year figure is 0.65, and annualized covariance runs at 249.9 %².

Within MAR's tracked universe of 40 assets, MDY comes in at #11 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months MAR came out ahead by 14.0 percentage points (+32.3% against +18.3%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.46 and 0.77 over the past three years, a moderate range.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MAR vs MDY: side by side

MAR (Marriott International)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+32.3%+18.3%
5-year return+173.2%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)24.6%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.970.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-30.5%-24.0%
Market cap$92.3B
P/E (trailing)36.7
Dividend yield0.76%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.76%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -30.5%Higher 5y return: MAR +173.2% vs +47.5%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+53%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MAR · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearMARMDY
2022-9.3%-13.3%
2023+53.1%+16.1%
2024+24.9%+13.6%
2025+12.3%+7.2%
2026+14.7%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MAR and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.61 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MAR and MDY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.61 over 3 years, with 0.45 over the last year and 0.65 over 5 years.

Is MDY a good diversifier for MAR?

To a limited degree. At 0.61 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.61 mean?

A reading of 0.61 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MAR vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.61MAR vs MDY0.61

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Hubs: MAR correlations · MDY correlations