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MA vs XLF: Correlation

How closely do Mastercard (MA) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.73, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.73
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.75
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.69
long-run
Ann. covariance
227.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MA and XLF?

Over the past 3 years, MA and XLF moved with a correlation of 0.73, which is strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.75) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.69, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 227.8 %².

In MA's tracked universe of 46 assets, XLF sits right near the top at #2. The trailing year gives XLF the advantage: +0.8% versus +9.3%, a 8.5-point spread. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.35 and 0.86 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MA vs XLF: side by side

MA (Mastercard)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+0.8%+9.3%
5-year return+72.6%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)19.3%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.770.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.9%-15.5%
Market cap$518.4B
P/E (trailing)32.9
Dividend yield0.56%1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryFinancialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLF 1.42% vs 0.56%Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -20.9%Higher 5y return: MA +72.6% vs +64.2%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-17%0%+11%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MA · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearMAXLF
2022-2.7%-10.6%
2023+23.4%+12.0%
2024+24.2%+30.6%
2025+9.0%+14.9%
2026+4.2%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLF holds MA at a 5.87% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are MA and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.73 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MA and XLF?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MA and XLF is 0.73 over 3 years, 0.75 over 1 year and 0.69 over 5 years.

Is XLF a good diversifier for MA?

To a limited degree. At 0.73 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.73 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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MA vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.73MA vs XLF0.73

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Hubs: MA correlations · XLF correlations