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LUMN vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.14, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.14
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.30
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.23
long-run
Ann. covariance
188.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are LUMN and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the LUMN/SPY correlation comes out at 0.14, weak. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.30) runs above the 3-year figure (0.14). The 5-year figure is 0.23, and annualized covariance runs at 188.6 %².

Out of 11 assets tracked against LUMN, SPY lands near the bottom at #7. Their 12-month results are close: +16.5% for LUMN against +20.6% for SPY. Note the risk asymmetry: LUMN runs 6.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

LUMN vs SPY: side by side

LUMN (Lumen Technologies, Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+16.5%+20.6%
5-year return-44.0%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)95.4%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.901.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-69.7%-18.8%
Market cap$6.3B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -69.7%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -44.0%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+131%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. LUMN · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearLUMNSPY
2022-55.5%-18.2%
2023-64.9%+26.2%
2024+190.2%+24.9%
2025+46.3%+17.7%
2026-21.0%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are LUMN and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of 0.14 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between LUMN and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between LUMN and SPY is 0.14 over 3 years, 0.30 over 1 year and 0.23 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for LUMN?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of 0.14 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of 0.14 mean?

A reading of 0.14 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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LUMN vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.14LUMN vs SPY0.14

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Hubs: LUMN correlations · SPY correlations