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LITE vs MDY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Lumentum (LITE) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) carry a correlation of 0.58, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.42
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.52
long-run
Ann. covariance
623.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are LITE and MDY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of LITE and MDY correlate at 0.58, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.42) runs below the 3-year figure (0.58). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.52, with an annualized covariance of 623.8 %².

Among the 34 assets we track against LITE, MDY ranks #5 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months LITE outperformed by 641.5 percentage points (+659.8% for LITE against +18.3% for MDY). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.32 and 0.79, a moderate band. One caveat on sizing: LITE is 4.0 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

LITE vs MDY: side by side

LITE (Lumentum)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+659.8%+18.3%
5-year return+998.1%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)65.5%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5002.360.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-50.6%-24.0%
Market cap$85.8B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryInformation TechnologyETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -50.6%Higher 5y return: LITE +998.1% vs +47.5%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+550%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. LITE · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearLITEMDY
2022-50.7%-13.3%
2023+0.5%+16.1%
2024+60.1%+13.6%
2025+339.1%+7.2%
2026+159.4%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are LITE and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between LITE and MDY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.58 over 3 years, with 0.42 over the last year and 0.52 over 5 years.

Is MDY a good diversifier for LITE?

To a limited degree. At 0.58 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.58 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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LITE vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58LITE vs MDY0.58

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Hubs: LITE correlations · MDY correlations