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KMX vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, CarMax Inc (KMX) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.32, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.32
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.23
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.45
long-run
Ann. covariance
196.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are KMX and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of KMX and SPY correlate at 0.32, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.23 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.45, with an annualized covariance of 196.6 %².

SPY is close to the least connected end of KMX's tracked universe, ranking #7 of 11. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 19.7 points (+0.9% versus +20.6%). Risk is not evenly split, since KMX carries 2.9 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

KMX vs SPY: side by side

KMX (CarMax Inc)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+0.9%+20.6%
5-year return-50.5%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)41.9%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.941.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-65.4%-18.8%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)38.9
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -65.4%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -50.5%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-47%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. KMX · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearKMXSPY
2022-53.2%-18.2%
2023+26.0%+26.2%
2024+6.5%+24.9%
2025-52.7%+17.7%
2026+62.1%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are KMX and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.32 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between KMX and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between KMX and SPY is 0.32 over 3 years, 0.23 over 1 year and 0.45 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for KMX?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.32 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.32 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.32 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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KMX vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.32KMX vs SPY0.32

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Hubs: KMX correlations · SPY correlations