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KDP vs XLP: Correlation

How closely do Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.52, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.52
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.52
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.55
long-run
Ann. covariance
136.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are KDP and XLP?

On 3 years of weekly data the KDP/XLP correlation comes out at 0.52, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.52) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.55, and annualized covariance runs at 136.8 %².

XLP is one of the assets that tracks KDP most closely: it ranks #2 out of the 30 assets we track against KDP. Twelve-month performance is nearly a tie, at +10.9% for KDP and +8.3% for XLP. On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.36 and 0.65, a moderate band. Note the risk asymmetry: KDP runs 2.1 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

KDP vs XLP: side by side

KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+10.9%+8.3%
5-year return+3.1%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)23.6%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.140.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-31.0%-9.7%
Market cap$43.4B
P/E (trailing)32.5
Dividend yield2.86%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: KDP 2.86% vs 2.58%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -31.0%Higher 5y return: XLP +34.7% vs +3.1%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. KDP · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearKDPXLP
2022-1.2%-0.8%
2023-4.2%-0.8%
2024-1.1%+12.2%
2025-10.1%+1.5%
2026+16.6%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 2.75% of XLP is KDP itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are KDP and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means KDP and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between KDP and XLP?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.52 over 3 years, with 0.52 over the last year and 0.55 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for KDP?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means KDP and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.52 mean?

A reading of 0.52 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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KDP vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.52KDP vs XLP0.52

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Related comparisons

Hubs: KDP correlations · XLP correlations