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IVV vs MSCI: Correlation

How closely do iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) and MSCI (MSCI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.49, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.49
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.38
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.64
long-run
Ann. covariance
179.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are IVV and MSCI?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of IVV and MSCI correlate at 0.49, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.38) runs below the 3-year figure (0.49). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.64, with an annualized covariance of 179.3 %².

Within IVV's tracked universe of 122 assets, MSCI comes in at #95 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with IVV ahead by 19.4 points (+20.7% versus +1.3%). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.35 to 0.71. One caveat on sizing: MSCI is 1.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

IVV vs MSCI: side by side

IVV (iShares Core S&P 500 ETF)MSCI (MSCI)
1-year return+20.7%+1.3%
5-year return+83.0%-5.6%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%25.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.85
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-26.0%
Market cap$41.4B
P/E (trailing)30.9
Dividend yield1.09%1.36%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$869.2B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapFinancials
Higher yield: MSCI 1.36% vs 1.09%Smaller drawdown: IVV -18.8% vs -26.0%Higher 5y return: IVV +83.0% vs -5.6%

IVV is a Large Blend fund from iShares: $869.2B under management, 503 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.09% trailing dividend yield.

-5%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). IVV · MSCI

Year-by-year returns

YearIVVMSCI
2022-18.2%-23.3%
2023+26.3%+22.9%
2024+24.9%+7.3%
2025+17.8%-3.2%
2026+13.7%+0.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that IVV holds MSCI at a 0.06% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are IVV and MSCI good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.49 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between IVV and MSCI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.49 over 3 years, with 0.38 over the last year and 0.64 over 5 years.

Is MSCI a good diversifier for IVV?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.49 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.49 mean?

A reading of 0.49 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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IVV vs MSCI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.49IVV vs MSCI0.49

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Hubs: IVV correlations · MSCI correlations