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ITW vs XLB: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) carry a correlation of 0.69, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.69
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.56
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.70
long-run
Ann. covariance
221.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ITW and XLB?

On 3 years of weekly data the ITW/XLB correlation comes out at 0.69, strong. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.56 versus 0.69 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.70, and annualized covariance runs at 221.5 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLB places #14 of the 81 assets tracked against ITW. The trailing year gives XLB the advantage: +8.2% versus +17.6%, a 9.4-point spread. The link looks structural: the rolling one-year correlation barely moved, holding between 0.59 and 0.80.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ITW vs XLB: side by side

ITW (Illinois Tool Works)XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+8.2%+17.6%
5-year return+36.1%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)19.0%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.640.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.6%-23.2%
Market cap$80.2B
P/E (trailing)25.8
Dividend yield2.26%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: ITW 2.26% vs 1.68%Smaller drawdown: ITW -20.6% vs -23.2%Higher 5y return: XLB +36.9% vs +36.1%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-8%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ITW · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearITWXLB
2022-8.5%-12.3%
2023+21.6%+12.5%
2024-1.0%+0.1%
2025-0.4%+9.9%
2026+15.8%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ITW and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.69 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ITW and XLB?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ITW and XLB is 0.69 over 3 years, 0.56 over 1 year and 0.70 over 5 years.

Is XLB a good diversifier for ITW?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.69 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.69 mean?

A reading of 0.69 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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ITW vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.69ITW vs XLB0.69

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ITW correlations · XLB correlations