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ITW vs UNP: Correlation

Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.56.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.56
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.43
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.56
long-run
Ann. covariance
220.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ITW and UNP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of ITW and UNP correlate at 0.56, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.43) than the 3-year average (0.56). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.56, with an annualized covariance of 220.7 %².

By 3-year correlation, UNP places #42 of the 81 assets tracked against ITW. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months UNP outperformed by 34.2 percentage points (+8.2% for ITW against +42.4% for UNP). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.46 and 0.73 over the past three years, a moderate range.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ITW vs UNP: side by side

ITW (Illinois Tool Works)UNP (Union Pacific Corporation)
1-year return+8.2%+42.4%
5-year return+36.1%+56.5%
Volatility (ann.)19.0%20.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.640.56
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.6%-17.8%
Market cap$80.2B$182.8B
P/E (trailing)25.825.1
Dividend yield2.26%1.78%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: UNP 25.1 vs 25.8Higher yield: ITW 2.26% vs 1.78%Smaller drawdown: UNP -17.8% vs -20.6%Higher 5y return: UNP +56.5% vs +36.1%
-8%0%+42%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. ITW · UNP

Year-by-year returns

YearITWUNP
2022-8.5%-15.9%
2023+21.6%+21.6%
2024-1.0%-5.1%
2025-0.4%+3.9%
2026+15.8%+34.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ITW and UNP good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.56 means ITW and UNP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ITW and UNP?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ITW and UNP is 0.56 over 3 years, 0.43 over 1 year and 0.56 over 5 years.

Is UNP a good diversifier for ITW?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.56 means ITW and UNP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.56 mean?

A reading of 0.56 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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ITW vs UNP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.56ITW vs UNP0.56

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ITW correlations · UNP correlations