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ITW vs SPYV: Correlation

Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF (SPYV) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.69.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.69
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.74
long-run
Ann. covariance
158.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ITW and SPYV?

Over the past 3 years, ITW and SPYV moved with a correlation of 0.69, which is strong. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.48 versus 0.69 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.74, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 158.6 %².

Within ITW's tracked universe of 81 assets, SPYV comes in at #12 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives SPYV the advantage: +8.2% versus +18.5%, a 10.3-point spread. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.49 to 0.85. One caveat on sizing: ITW is 1.6 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ITW vs SPYV: side by side

ITW (Illinois Tool Works)SPYV (SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF)
1-year return+8.2%+18.5%
5-year return+36.1%+73.5%
Volatility (ann.)19.0%12.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.640.70
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.6%-17.5%
Market cap$80.2B
P/E (trailing)25.8
Dividend yield2.26%1.69%
Expense ratio0.04%
Assets under management$36.2B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Style
Higher yield: ITW 2.26% vs 1.69%Smaller drawdown: SPYV -17.5% vs -20.6%Higher 5y return: SPYV +73.5% vs +36.1%

SPYV, State Street Investment Management's Large Value fund, carries $36.2B under management, 438 holdings, a 0.04% expense ratio, a 1.69% trailing dividend yield.

-8%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. ITW · SPYV

Year-by-year returns

YearITWSPYV
2022-8.5%-5.3%
2023+21.6%+22.2%
2024-1.0%+12.2%
2025-0.4%+13.2%
2026+15.8%+12.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 0.25% of SPYV is ITW itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are ITW and SPYV good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.69 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ITW and SPYV?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.69 over 3 years, with 0.48 over the last year and 0.74 over 5 years.

Is SPYV a good diversifier for ITW?

To a limited degree. At 0.69 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.69 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.69 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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ITW vs SPYV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.69ITW vs SPYV0.69

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Hubs: ITW correlations · SPYV correlations