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ITW vs MSM: Correlation

Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and MSC Industrial Direct Company, Inc. (MSM) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.64.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.64
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.60
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.63
long-run
Ann. covariance
306.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ITW and MSM?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of ITW and MSM correlate at 0.64, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.60 over 1 year against 0.64 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.63, with an annualized covariance of 306.7 %².

Within ITW's tracked universe of 81 assets, MSM comes in at #24 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MSM outperformed by 29.9 percentage points (+8.2% for ITW against +38.1% for MSM).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ITW vs MSM: side by side

ITW (Illinois Tool Works)MSM (MSC Industrial Direct Company, Inc.)
1-year return+8.2%+38.1%
5-year return+36.1%+73.8%
Volatility (ann.)19.0%25.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.640.78
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.6%-29.3%
Market cap$80.2B
P/E (trailing)25.829.6
Dividend yield2.26%2.84%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsUS Listed
Lower P/E: ITW 25.8 vs 29.6Higher yield: MSM 2.84% vs 2.26%Smaller drawdown: ITW -20.6% vs -29.3%Higher 5y return: MSM +73.8% vs +36.1%
-9%0%+41%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ITW · MSM

Year-by-year returns

YearITWMSM
2022-8.5%+0.9%
2023+21.6%+28.5%
2024-1.0%-23.4%
2025-0.4%+17.4%
2026+15.8%+49.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ITW and MSM good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.64 means ITW and MSM share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ITW and MSM?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ITW and MSM is 0.64 over 3 years, 0.60 over 1 year and 0.63 over 5 years.

Is MSM a good diversifier for ITW?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.64 means ITW and MSM share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.64 mean?

A reading of 0.64 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/itw-vs-msm.json

ITW vs MSM: 3-year weekly correlation 0.64ITW vs MSM0.64

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ITW correlations · MSM correlations