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IR vs MDY: Correlation

How closely do Ingersoll Rand (IR) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.73, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.73
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.69
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.74
long-run
Ann. covariance
357.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are IR and MDY?

On 3 years of weekly data the IR/MDY correlation comes out at 0.73, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.69) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.74, and annualized covariance runs at 357.2 %².

MDY is one of the assets that tracks IR most closely: it ranks #3 out of the 61 assets we track against IR. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MDY outperformed by 20.3 percentage points (-2.0% for IR against +18.3% for MDY). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.55 and 0.85, a moderate band. Risk is not evenly split, since IR carries 1.8 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

IR vs MDY: side by side

IR (Ingersoll Rand)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return-2.0%+18.3%
5-year return+49.2%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)29.8%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.170.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.6%-24.0%
Market cap$30.6B
P/E (trailing)32.6
Dividend yield0.15%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.15%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -36.6%Higher 5y return: IR +49.2% vs +47.5%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-13%0%+22%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. IR · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearIRMDY
2022-15.4%-13.3%
2023+48.2%+16.1%
2024+17.1%+13.6%
2025-12.3%+7.2%
2026-0.2%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are IR and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.73 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between IR and MDY?

The IR/MDY correlation stands at 0.73 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.69, 5 years: 0.74), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is MDY a good diversifier for IR?

To a limited degree. At 0.73 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.73 mean?

A reading of 0.73 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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IR vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.73IR vs MDY0.73

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Hubs: IR correlations · MDY correlations