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IEMG vs USO: Correlation

How closely do iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG) and United States Oil Fund (USO) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.26, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.26
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.52
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.07
long-run
Ann. covariance
-181.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are IEMG and USO?

Over the past 3 years, IEMG and USO moved with a correlation of -0.26, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.52) than the 3-year average (-0.26). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.07, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -181.9 %².

USO is close to the least connected end of IEMG's tracked universe, ranking #65 of 68. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USO ahead by 38.1 points (+36.0% versus +74.1%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.60 and 0.35 on a rolling one-year basis. Risk is not evenly split, since USO carries 2.3 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

IEMG vs USO: side by side

IEMG (iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+36.0%+74.1%
5-year return+50.7%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)17.4%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.84-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-17.2%-32.5%
Dividend yield2.31%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$152.2B
Sector / categoryETF · InternationalETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: IEMG -17.2% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +50.7%

On the fund side, IEMG sits in the Diversified Emerging Mkts category at iShares, with $152.2B under management, 1824 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 2.31% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). IEMG · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearIEMGUSO
2022-20.0%+29.0%
2023+11.5%-4.9%
2024+6.5%+13.4%
2025+32.6%-8.5%
2026+23.6%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are IEMG and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.26, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between IEMG and USO?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between IEMG and USO is -0.26 over 3 years, -0.52 over 1 year and -0.07 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for IEMG?

Yes: at -0.26, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.26 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.26 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/iemg-vs-uso.json

IEMG vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.26IEMG vs USO-0.26

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Hubs: IEMG correlations · USO correlations