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IEFA vs USO: Correlation

iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) and United States Oil Fund (USO) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.26.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.26
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.54
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.08
long-run
Ann. covariance
-154.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are IEFA and USO?

Over the past 3 years, IEFA and USO moved with a correlation of -0.26, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.54 versus -0.26 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.08, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -154.0 %².

Among the 111 assets we track against IEFA, USO sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #108. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USO ahead by 52.3 points (+21.8% versus +74.1%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.58 and 0.31 on a rolling one-year basis. Note the risk asymmetry: USO runs 2.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

IEFA vs USO: side by side

IEFA (iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+21.8%+74.1%
5-year return+54.5%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)15.0%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.77-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-13.8%-32.5%
Dividend yield3.35%
Expense ratio0.07%
Assets under management$190.1B
Sector / categoryETF · InternationalETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: IEFA -13.8% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +54.5%

IEFA is a Foreign Large Blend fund from iShares: $190.1B under management, 1620 holdings, a 0.07% expense ratio, a 3.35% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). IEFA · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearIEFAUSO
2022-15.2%+29.0%
2023+18.0%-4.9%
2024+3.3%+13.4%
2025+32.1%-8.5%
2026+14.5%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are IEFA and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.26, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between IEFA and USO?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.26 over 3 years, with -0.54 over the last year and -0.08 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for IEFA?

Yes: at -0.26, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.26 mean?

A reading of -0.26 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/iefa-vs-uso.json

IEFA vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.26IEFA vs USO-0.26

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![IEFA vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/iefa-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/iefa-vs-uso/)

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Related comparisons

Hubs: IEFA correlations · USO correlations