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IEF vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.09, a near-zero link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.09
near-zero
Correlation (1Y)
0.25
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.15
long-run
Ann. covariance
8.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are IEF and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the IEF/SPY correlation comes out at 0.09, near zero, meaning they move largely independently. The past 12 months show a tighter link (0.25) than the 3-year average (0.09). The 5-year figure is 0.15, and annualized covariance runs at 8.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #18 of the 48 assets tracked against IEF. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months SPY outperformed by 19.7 percentage points (+0.9% for IEF against +20.6% for SPY). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.44 and 0.56 on a rolling one-year basis. Risk is not evenly split, since SPY carries 2.2 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

IEF vs SPY: side by side

IEF (iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+0.9%+20.6%
5-year return-7.9%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)6.5%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.041.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-6.9%-18.8%
Dividend yield3.96%1.01%
Expense ratio0.15%0.09%
Assets under management$47.2B$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · BondsETF · US Large Cap
Lower fee: SPY 0.09% vs 0.15%Higher yield: IEF 3.96% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: IEF -6.9% vs -18.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -7.9%

IEF, iShares's Long Government fund, carries $47.2B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 3.96% trailing dividend yield. SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. IEF · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearIEFSPY
2022-15.2%-18.2%
2023+3.6%+26.2%
2024-0.6%+24.9%
2025+8.0%+17.7%
2026-0.8%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are IEF and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at 0.09, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between IEF and SPY?

The IEF/SPY correlation stands at 0.09 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.25, 5 years: 0.15), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for IEF?

Yes: at 0.09, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of 0.09 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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IEF vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.09IEF vs SPY0.09

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Hubs: IEF correlations · SPY correlations