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HWM vs USO: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Howmet Aerospace (HWM) and United States Oil Fund (USO) carry a correlation of -0.21, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.21
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.32
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.03
long-run
Ann. covariance
-261.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HWM and USO?

Over the past 3 years, HWM and USO moved with a correlation of -0.21, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.32 versus -0.21 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.03, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -261.8 %².

Out of 35 assets tracked against HWM, USO lands near the bottom at #32. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months USO outperformed by 21.4 percentage points (+52.7% for HWM against +74.1% for USO). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.45 and 0.33 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HWM vs USO: side by side

HWM (Howmet Aerospace)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+52.7%+74.1%
5-year return+754.4%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)32.1%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.24-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-19.4%-32.5%
Market cap$106.7B
P/E (trailing)58.2
Dividend yield0.18%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: HWM -19.4% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: HWM +754.4% vs +168.6%
-6%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HWM · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearHWMUSO
2022+24.2%+29.0%
2023+37.8%-4.9%
2024+102.7%+13.4%
2025+88.0%-8.5%
2026+30.7%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HWM and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.21, HWM and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HWM and USO?

The HWM/USO correlation stands at -0.21 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.32, 5 years: -0.03), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is USO a good diversifier for HWM?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.21, HWM and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.21 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/hwm-vs-uso.json

HWM vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.21HWM vs USO-0.21

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[![HWM vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/hwm-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/hwm-vs-uso/)

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HWM correlations · USO correlations