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HTGC vs MAIN: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) and Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) carry a correlation of 0.71, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.71
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.73
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.72
long-run
Ann. covariance
312.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HTGC and MAIN?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of HTGC and MAIN correlate at 0.71, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.73) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.72, with an annualized covariance of 312.5 %².

By 3-year correlation, MAIN places #4 of the 16 assets tracked against HTGC. Their 12-month results are close: +1.4% for HTGC against -2.5% for MAIN.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HTGC vs MAIN: side by side

HTGC (Hercules Capital, Inc.)MAIN (Main Street Capital Corporation)
1-year return+1.4%-2.5%
5-year return+82.3%+106.5%
Volatility (ann.)22.4%19.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.790.69
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.0%-22.4%
Market cap$3.3B$5.5B
P/E (trailing)8.711.7
Dividend yield9.07%5.29%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: HTGC 8.7 vs 11.7Higher yield: HTGC 9.07% vs 5.29%Smaller drawdown: MAIN -22.4% vs -28.0%Higher 5y return: MAIN +106.5% vs +82.3%
-23%0%+2%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HTGC · MAIN

Year-by-year returns

YearHTGCMAIN
2022-9.5%-11.4%
2023+42.9%+28.2%
2024+32.8%+47.3%
2025+3.5%+10.7%
2026+1.8%+1.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HTGC and MAIN good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.71 means HTGC and MAIN share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HTGC and MAIN?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between HTGC and MAIN is 0.71 over 3 years, 0.73 over 1 year and 0.72 over 5 years.

Is MAIN a good diversifier for HTGC?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.71 means HTGC and MAIN share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.71 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.71 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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HTGC vs MAIN: 3-year weekly correlation 0.71HTGC vs MAIN0.71

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HTGC correlations · MAIN correlations