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HTCO vs SPY: Correlation

High-Trend International Group - Class A (HTCO) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a near-zero relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.06.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.06
near-zero
Correlation (1Y)
0.05
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.04
long-run
Ann. covariance
-124.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HTCO and SPY?

Over the past 3 years, HTCO and SPY moved with a correlation of -0.06, which is near zero, meaning they move largely independently. The past 12 months show a tighter link (0.05) than the 3-year average (-0.06). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.04, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -124.4 %².

Among the 15 assets we track against HTCO, SPY ranks #7 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 98.4 points (-77.8% versus +20.6%). Note the risk asymmetry: HTCO runs 9.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HTCO vs SPY: side by side

HTCO (High-Trend International Group - Class A)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return-77.8%+20.6%
5-year return-98.9%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)143.5%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 500-0.601.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-97.5%-18.8%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -97.5%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -98.9%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-64%0%+70%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. HTCO · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearHTCOSPY
2022-87.1%-18.2%
2023-63.0%+26.2%
2024+608.5%+24.9%
2025-89.9%+17.7%
2026-69.1%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HTCO and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.06, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HTCO and SPY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.06 over 3 years, with 0.05 over the last year and -0.04 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for HTCO?

Yes: at -0.06, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.06 mean?

A reading of -0.06 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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HTCO vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation -0.06HTCO vs SPY-0.06

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Hubs: HTCO correlations · SPY correlations