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HRL vs XLP: Correlation

Hormel Foods (HRL) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.38.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.38
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.36
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.46
long-run
Ann. covariance
109.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HRL and XLP?

Over the past 3 years, HRL and XLP moved with a correlation of 0.38, which is moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.36 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.46, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 109.3 %².

Among the 35 assets we track against HRL, XLP ranks #5 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLP outperformed by 31.1 percentage points (-22.8% for HRL against +8.3% for XLP). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.29 and 0.58 over the past three years, a moderate range. Risk is not evenly split, since HRL carries 2.4 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HRL vs XLP: side by side

HRL (Hormel Foods)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-22.8%+8.3%
5-year return-44.3%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)26.1%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.070.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.5%-9.7%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)28.0
Dividend yield0.00%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: XLP 2.58% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -44.5%Higher 5y return: XLP +34.7% vs -44.3%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-20%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. HRL · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearHRLXLP
2022-4.7%-0.8%
2023-27.5%-0.8%
2024+1.2%+12.2%
2025-21.3%+1.5%
2026-6.7%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLP holds HRL at a 0.43% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are HRL and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.38, HRL and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HRL and XLP?

The HRL/XLP correlation stands at 0.38 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.36, 5 years: 0.46), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLP a good diversifier for HRL?

Reasonably. At 0.38, HRL and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.38 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.38 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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HRL vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.38HRL vs XLP0.38

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Hubs: HRL correlations · XLP correlations